ZIF Peace Operations 2025

TitleZIF Peace Operations 2025
Publication TypeReport
Year of Publication2013
Authorsvon Gienanth, T, Hansen, W, Köppe, S
Subtitle / Series TitleNational Interests, Erratic Progress, Regional Diversity, and Global Cooperation
InstitutionCenter for International Peace Operations (ZIF)

The world of peace operations has changed tremendously in recent decades and will surely continue to do so in the future. That’s not exactly news. But how will it change? What will be the drivers and key factors, what will be the landscape for change? What kinds of conflict will we face and what concepts, instruments and resources will we have to face them? In other words: How could the peace operations world look in the year 2025? To predict and influence future events is one of mankind’s most ancient activities. Everything from celestial objects to tea leaves has been used in the past. In lieu thereof, ZIF has applied modern scenario methodology with the support of Z_punkt, a German foresight company. Furthermore, this scenario process has built on the contributions of an outstanding group of experts, practitioners and so-called wild cards, that is, non-insiders to peace operations. We labeled our group the “Futurologists of Peace Operations”. FoPOs met in three interactive workshops on three continents, in Berlin, Addis Ababa, and New York. On this solid basis, ZIF has created four distinct scenarios for peace operations in the year 2025: National Interests, Erratic Progress, Regional Diversity, and Global Cooperation.(Source: Report's preface) Download

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