Syria’s Metastasising Conflicts

TitelSyria’s Metastasising Conflicts
Typ der PublikationReport
Publikationsjahr2013
AutorInnenN.N.
Untertitel / SerientitelMiddle East Report N°143
Pagination52pp.
InstitutionInternational Crisis Group
StadtDamaskus/Cairo/Brussels
Kurztext

Two years, scores of thousands of dead, a mushrooming regional sectarian war and millions of refugees and internally displaced later, the Syrian war is tying the international community in knots largely of its own making. Once confident of swift victory, the opposition’s foreign allies shifted to a paradigm dangerously divorced from reality: that military pressure would force the regime to alter its calculus so that it would either negotiate its demise or experience internal cracks leading to its collapse. That discounted the apparent determination of Iran, Hizbollah and Russia to do what it takes to keep the regime afloat and bring the armed opposition to its knees. It counted without the fecklessness of an opposition in exile fighting for a share of power it has yet to achieve. And it assumed that the Assad regime has a “calculus” susceptible to be changed, not merely a fighting mode designed to last. It is past time to get over false hopes and confront a harsh truth. The options that dominate the policy debate would deepen the crisis, not produce a credible exit from it. (from the executive summary) Download

URLhttp://www.crisisgroup.org/en.aspx
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